Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?
Ticaret PolitikasıOne-OffABD SiyasetiRegülasyon3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 85.5%
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
23 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Nis 25 21:57 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible, tangible evidence emerges before January 1, 2030, showing that senior officials in the Trump administration traded securities based on non-public information about tariff policies.
- Evidence must come from reliable sources such as court documents, regulatory findings, credible investigative journalism, or official government investigations.
- The evidence must specifically demonstrate:
- The individual was a senior Trump administration official (or Trump)
- They traded securities (bought or sold)