Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiGoogle 100%11 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
59
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Şub 26 21:23 UTC31 Ara 26 21:19 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Insider Trading Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketKurallar
A member of the listed organization must be penalized.
- The action must be a substantial action, including a fine, ban from a prediction market, termination, demotion, etc. A warning is not sufficient.
- If any other regulator such as the SEC or CFTC takes significant action, also resolves YES.
- If an exchange takes action, also resolves YES.
- If a law enforcement branch makes an legitimate indictment or arrest, resolves YES.
- The enforcement action must take place from market open to EOY 2026.
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺697,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,6 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+11.0pt64%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-10.0pt37%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt98%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt98%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺79,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Google için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A member of the listed organization must be penalized.