Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
One-OffKripto2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 03:24 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77.4%
Tahminciler
29
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Oca 23 16:16 UTC1 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Trading - not market creation.
- Does not include people who were already thought leaders before having a trading record.
- Thought leaders could roughly be approximated as having regular influence over thoughts of 5k+ individuals.
- I'm ok with approximating this by followers on a social media platform.
- I might not be proactively looking for these individuals - examples will need to be raised in the comments.
