SOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
One-OffYZChinaTeknolojiJeopolitik3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77.3%
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Guncelligini yitirmis9 Eki 25 23:08 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis).
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
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+3 daha fazla sonuç
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+7 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
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+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
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+4 daha fazla sonuç
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- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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+2 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- SOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- SOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- SOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- SOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis).