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Play-money forecasting platform
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Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, before 2029, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reports that the day 10 forecast for 500 hPa height has reached an anomaly correlation coefficient of 60% or greater for either the Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere, using the 12-month running mean.
- This market is managed by a bot.
- Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run.
Açık piyasalar
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+70.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-26.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺33,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,2 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+40.0pt99%
- Houston+68.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+12.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+56.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-4.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-47.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+63.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+49.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-37.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-7.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Sık sorulan sorular
- [Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- [Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- [Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2029.
- [Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?