Is the Exponential Time Hypothesis true?

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.1pt4%
• October 31-0.1pt0%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺3,8 Mr

24s Hacim

₺6,4 Mn

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt14.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-0.1pt4.7%

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30-22.5pt20%
• December 31-1.0pt5%

Toplam Hacim

₺1,5 Mn

24s Hacim

₺320,6 B

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+1.0pt89%
• 211%
• 30%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?

• 5.9 to 6.081%
• 6.1 or more26%
• 5.5 to 5.6+1.5pt19%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

KALSHI

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

• Before 2028+10.0pt69.5%
• Before Jul 1, 2027+9.0pt49%
• Before 2027-25.0pt