Güncel topluluk tahmini
Not demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 31.6%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Oca 26 14:44 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Kalshiwill i get a quantum computer in my lifetime?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
📌 Description :
- This market resolves based on the first public demonstration of a quantum computer achieving ≥1,000 logical qubits.
- A valid demonstration must include:
- • Explicit identification of logical qubits (error-corrected, not physical qubits),
- • Evidence of fault-tolerant operation (e.g. sustained error correction),
- • Public disclosure via peer-reviewed paper, preprint, or official announcement by a recognized organization (company, research lab, or government agency).
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Sık sorulan sorular
- In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Not demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 için 32% fiyatlıyor.
- In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: 📌 Description :