Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOther 54%10 seçenek arasında lider
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Guncelligini yitirmis6 Mar 22 18:15 UTC1 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
Manifold MarketsWill the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiKurallar
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/
- Acceptable answers: full year, in format YYYY, i.e. "2022"
- Resolves to the year corresponding to the resolution made on the above Metaculus question. i.e. if the question resolves to "Mar 24, 2028", this market resolves to "2028".
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺98 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺428 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺374,6 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺165 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺284 B
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Recession in 2027?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
Sık sorulan sorular
- In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Other için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/