If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
ABD SiyasetiOne-OffJeopolitik2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 65.6%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Haz 25 05:39 UTC20 Oca 29 11:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
Manifold MarketsWill The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.
- It doesn't matter what agency the agent was from who shot the protestor(s).
- National guard or military counts as well, as long as it happened while they were on duty, responding to a protest.
- If no protestors get shot during the second term I'll resolve the market N/A. If net approval is exactly identical in Silver's report, this resolves NO, since it didn't go up.
- It's irrelevant for the market condition if the protestor survives.
- As long as they were hit by a proper, potentially deadly bullet, not rubber bullets or teargas or similar, it counts.
