Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TeknolojiOne-Off2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 63.9%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Oca 25 19:34 UTC21 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Background: iMessage, owned by Apple, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While Apple can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the iMessage software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Apple has provided the content of at least one iMessage message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.
