PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
40% 100%5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
58 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺94,5 B
Likidite
₺751,8 B
Orta likiditeSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-1.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Kas 25 17:50 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.