Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2 88%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Nis 26 02:11 UTC1 Oca 27 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How many problems written by me will be on the 2027 OTIS Mock AIME
Manifold MarketsHow many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiKurallar
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c5h3808234_mock_jmo
- Resolves to the number of distinct problems of the "JMO mock" (which was an april fools joke btw) above that will have at least one 7 point solution submitted to me by December 31st, 2026.
- Any submission is acceptable, including submissions that were not done in time conditions or by someone who would normally be ineligible for any olympiad (eg, someone who is >18 years old).
- Groupsolving is also permitted.
- However, me submitting a solution to my own problem does not count.
- I think MOHS predictions are around 30 45 50 or so, but may be wrong.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+17.3pt49%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 2027+0.2pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+65.0pt99%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- 0-19.0pt47.6%
- 1+24.5pt40.8%
- 3+6.0pt6.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Sık sorulan sorular
- How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2 için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c5h3808234_mock_jmo