Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini0 84.3%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Oca 26 01:12 UTC20 Oca 29 11:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExKurallar
Military combat deaths, combined, across any military.
- Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Civilians killed by military are generally counted as combat deaths.
- Resolution may depend on practical realities of available source data and how sources count deaths.
- The creator may use Wikipedia infobox data as the source, though this is not definitively committed to.
Açık piyasalar
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- How many combat deaths will there be in Greenland during Trump's second term? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 0 için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- How many combat deaths will there be in Greenland during Trump's second term? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How many combat deaths will there be in Greenland during Trump's second term? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- How many combat deaths will there be in Greenland during Trump's second term? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Military combat deaths, combined, across any military.