Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffJeopolitikMiddle EastTrade Policy3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.1%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Nis 26 13:38 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, there are no significant restrictions, detentions, or military-backed disruptions to commercial shipping transiting the Strait of Hormuz compared to pre-2023 levels, as reported by major international maritime authorities or reputable news outlets.
- The market resolves to NO if, at any point throughout 2026, incidents such as the seizure of vessels by state actors, declared maritime exclusion zones, or significant, sustained disruptions to commercial traffic originating from geopolitical tensions persist or reoccur.
- Relevant sources for determining the status of shipping include reports from the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), and major international wire services (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press).
- If sources are conflicting or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on the consensus reported by major international news outlets regarding whether "normal" transit conditions have returned.
Açık piyasalar
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
- Above 4.130099%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,8 Mn
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.915099%
+34 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.87099%
- Above $2.86599%
- Above $2.85097%
+67 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,6 Mn
KALSHICopper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $6.6099%
- Above $6.64+29.0pt99%
- Above $6.70+47.0pt99%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,5 Mn
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.915099%
- Above 3.875099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,6 Mn
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This description was generated by AI.