Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini6. Never in 2026 99%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Nis 26 20:431 Oca 27 0:59
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? · Before Jul 1, 2027 46%
Açık piyasalar
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.9pt66%
- October 31-9.0pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺864,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺19,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt48%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt42%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt35%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt26.2%
- Before Mar 1, 202710.7%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺632,7 Mn
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.2pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 3186%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla 6. Never in 2026 için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.