Manifold MarketsKYC yokGüncel topluluk tahmini1. April 30 0.9%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Nis 26 20:431 Oca 27 0:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
1. April 301%
İlgili Piyasalar
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
₺16 MnDecember 31: 45%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
₺6,5 MnDecember 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill we see a destroyed tanker in the Straight of Hormuz by mid 2026?
₺224,3 BEvet: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
₺66,4 BEvet: 34%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Nothing Ever Happens: July
₺39,8 BNothing: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill US average gas price reach … in June 2026?
₺16,6 B$4.400 or higher?: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
US strikes, Trump vow sink Polymarket Jul15 Hormuz normalization odds to 13.5%Blockchain.News
U.S. hits Iran again as Trump vows escalation, Polymarket keeps him at 1.65%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran again after Hormuz tanker hit; Polymarket sees 99.95% by Aug 31Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
CENTCOM confirms new US strikes as Polymarket puts Iran shipping hit at 99%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.