By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

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From this article regarding an interview with Dario Amodei: https://futurism.com/the-byte/anthropic-ceo-ai-replicate-survive

When Klein asked how long it would take to get to these various threat levels, Amodei — who said he's wont to thinking "in exponentials" — said he thinks the "replicate and survive in the wild" level could be reached "anywhere from 2025 to 2028."
"I’m truly talking about the near future here.
I’m not talking about 50 years away," the Anthropic CEO said. "God grant me chastity, but not now.
But 'not now' doesn’t mean when I’m old and gray.
I think it could be near-term."

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

One-OffYZ Teknoloji Bilim3y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 67.2%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

3 dakika önce güncellendi

22 Nis 24 21:43 UTC28 Ara 29 07:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Polymarket

Will Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?

Manifold Markets

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?

Kalshi

Is Dario Amodei correct that most human disease be cured in 5-10 years?

Manifold Markets

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Polymarket

AI models will be able to complete 20-hour software engineering tasks in 2026

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Kurallar

From this article regarding an interview with Dario Amodei: https://futurism.com/the-byte/anthropic-ceo-ai-replicate-survive

When Klein asked how long it would take to get to these various threat levels, Amodei — who said he's wont to thinking "in exponentials" — said he thinks the "replicate and survive in the wild" level could be reached "anywhere from 2025 to 2028."
"I’m truly talking about the near future here.
I’m not talking about 50 years away," the Anthropic CEO said. "God grant me chastity, but not now.
But 'not now' doesn’t mean when I’m old and gray.
I think it could be near-term."

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Sık sorulan sorular

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 67% fiyatlıyor.
By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Aralık 2029.
By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: From this article regarding an interview with Dario Amodei: https://futurism.com/the-byte/anthropic-ceo-ai-replicate-survive

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

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