Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94.1%
Tahminciler
110
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Ara 25 03:28 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
PolymarketUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves YES iff the social media ban for under 16 year olds in Australia implemented in December 2025 is no longer law at any point from January 1st to December 31st 2026 according to consensus of credible reporting.
- Update 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional resolution criteria:
- Changes to the list of banned sites will not count as YES unless only one or fewer sites remain restricted (currently ten sites are restricted)
- Decreases to the age limit count as YES only if reduced by at least two years
- If the law is rendered constitutionally invalid by a successful High Court challenge, this counts as YES
- Changes must take legal effect at any point in 2026 for YES, not merely announced
