KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 80%
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺113,6 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Ağu 26 22:00 UTC1 Eki 27 03:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Açık piyasalar
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺697,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,6 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+11.0pt64%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-10.0pt37%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt98%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt98%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺79,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 80% fiyatlıyor.
- Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2027.
- Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If an under-16 social media ban has become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.