As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
JeopolitikOne-OffUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 84.9%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli28 Ara 23 13:16 UTC1 Kas 28 10:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
Manifold MarketsWill there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?
Manifold MarketsWhich US states or territories will pass Montana-style Right-to-Try bills in 2026?
FutuurWill Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
KalshiIran coup attempt by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.
- Will resolve NO if all current states are still part of the union on market close.
- This includes scenarios where states merge.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Kasım 2028.
- As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.