Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 78.8%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Oca 26 19:33 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsWill Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsCopper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Alcoa's aluminum segment production in 2026 exceeds 2.3 million metric tons (2,300 kt), as reported in the company's official full-year 2026 earnings release or SEC filings.
- The resolution will be based on actual production figures disclosed by Alcoa Corporation for the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution source: Alcoa Investor Relations or SEC EDGAR filings.
- Alcoa expects 2025 aluminum segment production of 2.3-2.5 million tonnes, with the lower bound at exactly 2.3 Mt. In Q3 2025, aluminum segment production increased 1% sequentially to 579,000 metric tons, driven by continued progress on the San Ciprián, Spain smelter restart.
- Aluminum production increased 5% annually in 2024 primarily due to the restart of capacity at the Warrick smelter and continued progress on the Alumar smelter restart.
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-12.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-19.0pt29%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria