LimitlessKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
25 bps increase 74.5%5 seçenek arasında lider
25 bps increase 74.5%Piyasa kalitesi
22 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorPiyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
31 Eki 26 11:51 UTC10 Ara 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
Kurallar
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "the named outcome" bracket.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 2 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in 25 bps increase için platformlar arası referans olasılığı %75. Platformlar arası fark yaklaşık 1 puan. Platformlar hangi sonucun önde olduğu konusunda hemfikir değil.
CoinRithm referansı 25 bps increase 75% · 2 platform · 1 puan venue farkı
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Fed Decision in December? · 25 bps increase 75%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Fed decision in December? · Increase 74%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Fed decision in Dec 2026? · Hike 25bps 72%
- Gemini üzerinde de mevcut — Fed decision in December? · Hike 25bps 69%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — Fed rate decision in December 2026 · Hike 25bps 70%
