Güncel topluluk tahmini
Increase 76.4%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-0.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli4 Eyl 26 17:23 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
Kurallar
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Fed Decision in December? · 25 bps increase 76%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Fed decision in Dec 2026? · Hike 25bps 70%
- Gemini üzerinde de mevcut — Fed decision in December? · Hike 25bps 67%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026) · H 25 68%
