KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 20, 2029 49.5%3 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 20, 2029 49.5%Piyasa kalitesi
45 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$455,1
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Piyasa verileri
41 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Tem 26 00:00 UTC1 Oca 27 14:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 20, 2029
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
KalshiKurallar
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Financial TimesThe InformationMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCOpenAIAnthropicNBCThe Washington Postthe Associated PressReutersAxiosFox NewsCNNPoliticoBloomberg NewsCBSCNBCThe New York Times
- Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.