Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOther 15%28 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
94
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Oca 26 04:47 UTC31 Ara 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Lucas Beyer (AI Researcher) work at either Anthropic or xAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
KalshiWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See the other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI.
- The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs.
- If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue.