KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
8 Eyl 2026 22:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Above $500 billion 0%8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
39 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Ağu 26 19:00 UTC4 Şub 30 13:29 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2027
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2032
KalshiUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2029 is strictly the named outcome dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis.
- It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.
- Because the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit.
- For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.
- Resolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2029.
Açık piyasalar
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺100,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+2.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺429,4 B
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)+2.0pt41.5%
- 0 (0 bps)+1.0pt28.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt23.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- CPI core in August
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- US trade deficit for 2029 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Above $500 billion için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- US trade deficit for 2029 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US trade deficit for 2029 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Şubat 2030.
- US trade deficit for 2029 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2029 is strictly the named outcome dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.