KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 51%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺243,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
48.0% / 51.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Mar 26 19:00 UTC4 Mar 27 13:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiKurallar
If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered.
- Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺86,4 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-3.0pt58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,3 B
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes22%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺409,3 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺371,4 B
- Recession this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 51% fiyatlıyor.
- U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Mart 2027.
- U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.