KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 31, 2028 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 31, 2028 61.5%9 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 31, 2028 61.5%Piyasa kalitesi
63 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺17,7 B
Açık pozisyon
$101 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Before Jan 31, 2028Spread
—
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
30 Nis 26 21:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
Before Oct 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 31, 2028
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsMark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
KalshiGiorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiNarendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
KalshiClaudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
KalshiWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the Federal ReserveThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes. The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 31, 2028
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
