KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
14 Eki 2026 04:37 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2030 12%6 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2030 12%Piyasa kalitesi
36 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
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Açık pozisyon bilinmiyorAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Eki 26 19:45 UTC1 Tem 27 03:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2030
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Claudia SheinbaumThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPresidency of MexicoCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement that merely acknowledges the scheduled end of Claudia Sheinbaum's term, such as a statement that she will hand over power when her term ends, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2029
- If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
