2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
5.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri5ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
29 Eki 2026 19:37 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
125 million and above · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
125 million and above 26.5%9 seçenek arasında lider
125 million and above 26.5%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺332,4 B
Açık pozisyon
$81 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
125 million and aboveSpread
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Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Şub 26 21:00 UTC31 Mar 27 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · 125 million and above
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Manifold MarketsIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 125 million and above
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 115 to 119.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120 to 124.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 120,000,000 and 124,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 110 to 114.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 110,000,000 and 114,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 105 to 109.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 104.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95 to 99.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 95,000,000 and 99,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Less than 90 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90 to 94.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 90,000,000 and 94,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — 2026 Midterms: House Turnout · 115-120m 26%