KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 78%+4.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
58 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺17,7 B
Likidite
₺66,4 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
75.0% / 78.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eyl 26 16:03 UTC11 Eyl 26 13:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.6% at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:VoteHub
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
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- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Eylül 2026.
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.6% at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.