KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k 19%+3.0pt12 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
56 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺87,3 B
Likidite
₺156,1 B
Orta likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Eyl 26 20:00 UTC2 Eki 26 12:29 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 170,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,7 Mn
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺171,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+6.0pt95%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt94%
- Above 0+4.0pt89%
- Above 10,00086%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+4.0pt90.1%
- Yes-4.0pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺95,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺545,8 B
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Sık sorulan sorular
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k için 19% fiyatlıyor.
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ekim 2026.
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.