Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 65.8%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
30 Haz 26 00:21 UTC2 Eki 26 12:25 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for September 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.
- Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted.
- A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES.
- A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO.
- Negative values resolve NO.
- Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, average hourly earnings, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial September 2026 release before resolution.
Açık piyasalar
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺100,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+2.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺429,4 B
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)+2.0pt41.5%
- 0 (0 bps)+1.0pt28.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt23.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- CPI core in August
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ekim 2026.
- Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for September 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.