Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (82.7%)
Sonuçlandı: 2 Eki 2026 12:30
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Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
3 Eki 2026 00:51 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 20,000 in October 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 100,000 in October 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 60,000 in October 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 70,000 in October 2026?
ForecastExUS nonfarm payrolls: October
FutuurKurallar
Resolves YES if the change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September 2026, as first reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, is less than zero (i.e. the U.S. economy shed jobs on net in September).
- Resolves NO if that first-reported change is zero or positive.
- Only the first print counts.
- Later monthly revisions, the annual benchmark revision, and any subsequent restatement are irrelevant to this market.
- Source (named oracle): the BLS Employment Situation news release at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm — the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in Total nonfarm employment (Establishment Survey / Table B-1).
- The September 2026 release is scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET.
