KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
11 Eyl 2026 14:30 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
At least 1730K 0%11 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
26 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
9.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Eyl 26 17:45 UTC17 Eyl 26 12:29 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
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0%
0%
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0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+6.0pt57.8%
- No change-6.0pt41.2%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺286,5 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺43,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,9 Mn
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺474,6 B
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺391,9 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺166 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺379,4 B
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+8.0pt37%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+1.5pt28%
- 0.3% to 0.5%-11.9pt9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Unemployment in September
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 11 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla At least 1730K için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 17 Eylül 2026.
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least