KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 79%
Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺56,7
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
20.0% / 29.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
19 Ağu 26 22:00 UTC6 Ağu 27 12:29 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?
KalshiWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 3% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 4% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 5% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiKurallar
If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The market will use the 12-month percent change reported by BLS in the Employment Situation release for series CES0500000003.
- Settlement is based on the value initially reported for that reference month and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺90,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,6 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺921,5 B
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP-23.0pt51%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No76%
- Yes+3.0pt24%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺554,2 B
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Ağustos 2027.
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.