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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

1.5% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 4%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

9,5 mil €

Liquidez

25,5 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

3.4% / 4.5%

Spread

32.4%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

9/06/26, 1:0831/07/26, 19:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes4%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.