Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
0.2% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoLatin America1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 96%
Qualidade do mercado
91 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
3,1 mil €
Liquidez
30 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
95.2% / 97.0%
Spread
1.9%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+2.2%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
17/04/26, 22:2615/08/26, 6:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes96%
Tendência de volume
$3.5k2 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.
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The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
- Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
- This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC).