Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Política
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (100%)
Resolvido: 22 de abr. de 2026, 03:51
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Probabilidade implícita atualSim 100%+0.2pt
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
-
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 106 dias
Desatualizado26/02/26, 23:0521/04/26, 0:00
Tendências
100%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 0 € | 0 € | há 106 dias | |
 Kalshi80% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 82% | — | 0 € | 0 € | há 96 dias | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 96 dias | Abrir → |
 PredictIt78% de correspondência · verificado | — | 92% | — | — | — | há 96 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Fechados
Resolvido
Sim (82%)
-1.0pt82%
18%
15 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHITambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass?
Fechados
Resolvido
Sim (100%)
100%
0%
Previsão da comunidade192 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em PredictIt
Will Virginia pass a redistricting referendum in 2026?
Fechados
Resolvido
Sim (92%)
+12.0pt92%
-12.0pt8%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegras
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.