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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 6%
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

574 €

Liquidez

65,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-1.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

5/01/26, 19:1931/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes6%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.