PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: September 30
Resolvido: 23 de jul. de 2026, 23:39
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 23 de jul. de 2026, 23:40 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Probabilidade implícita atual
September 30 100%+2.3ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+75.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 39 dias
Desatualizado10/03/26, 3:1730/09/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
September 3098%
May 310%
June 300%
March 310%
April 300%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, (48.403602° N, 37.117327° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.