PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 99%+5.4ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
41 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
24,4 mil €
Liquidez
39,1 mil €
Alta liquidezComentários
0
Variação 7d
-7.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado29/07/26, 23:311/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 99% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia enter Hannivka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Hannivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.484596° N, 37.119043° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).