PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 85%+3.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
408,2 €
Liquidez
16,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
59.0% / 61.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
8/09/26, 02:40 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 85% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).