PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoLiquidado pelo provedor, mercado por mercado
Resolvido: 23 de jul. de 2026, 23:39
Este evento não tem um único vencedor. O provedor liquidou cada mercado separadamente; cada mercado mostra seu próprio resultado.
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
May 310%
June 305%
March 310%
April 300%
September 30100%
July 31100%
September 30Ganhou
July 31Ganhou
May 31Perdeu
June 30Perdeu
March 31Perdeu
April 30Perdeu
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.353724° N, 37.072518° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.