PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 9%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
13,4 mil €
Liquidez
4,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoComments
1
Variação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
14/01/26, 18:251/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Malokaterynivka, Zaporizhzhya Oblast (47.6566° N, 35.2560° E), by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Malokaterynivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 9% em 26 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Malokaterynivka, Zaporizhzhya Oblast (47.6566° N, 35.2560° E), by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.