Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Política
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 147 dias
Desatualizado8/11/20, 0:006/02/22, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regras
This is a market on if Donald Trump will be inaugurated for his second term as President of the United States of America, on Inauguration Day—January 20th, 2021. At the time of market creation, AP, CNN, WSJ, Fox, and more have called the election for Joe Biden as the winner, and formally declared him the president-elect, however Trump vows to contest the result legally.
- Inauguration Day is the day when the newly elected President is sworn in, and takes place at the beginning of every new term, regardless of if it is a new president, or the incumbent president is entering their second term. It has taken place on January 20th every time since 1937, unless it’s been a Sunday, which it is not in 2021. In the highly unlikely event the Inauguration Day date is changed to any other day before February 1st, 2021, it will be treated as the official Inauguration Day and resolution date for this market, and the same conditions will apply.
- This market will not resolve, under any circumstances, until the resolution date—Inauguration Day. If Joe Biden, or anyone else other than Donald Trump, is inaugurated that day as President of the USA, the market will resolve to “No”. If Trump claims he is still president, but is not officially inaugurated on Inauguration Day, the market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason, Trump is not inaugurated for the next term before February 1st, 2021, the market will resolve to “No”. If he is officially inaugurated for his second term on Inauguration Day the market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be https://www.usa.gov/presidents#item-37462 and https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/, both official government sources.
