Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
Política
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Haley
Resolvido: 6 de mar. de 2024, 18:45
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Haley 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 122 dias
Desatualizado12/02/24, 17:255/11/24, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Biden0%
Haley100%
100%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley.
- This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before President Joseph Biden.
- In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either candidate from continuing the race, this market will consider the candidate that can no longer run to have dropped out.
- If neither candidate drops out at any point before the 2024 election day (November 5, 2024 ET), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-6.0pt54%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt37.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,1 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+8.6pt79%
- October 31+20.0pt67%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 166 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 9,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 874,5 mil
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 0-3%+6.0pt18.4%
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+2.0pt15.6%
- Ralph Norman, 0-3%+3.0pt13.8%
+15 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt3%
+15 mais resultados
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Biden or Haley drop out first??
- A Polymarket cota Haley em 100% em 25 de abril de 2026.
- Quando Will Biden or Haley drop out first? é resolvido?
- Will Biden or Haley drop out first? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de novembro de 2024.
- Como Will Biden or Haley drop out first? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley.