Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 40%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado
91 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
512,1 €
Liquidez
29,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
2.6%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+1.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
12/05/26, 23:506/09/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes40%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 61% | +21pt | 512,1 € | 29,9 mil € | há 5 minutos | |
 Futuur82% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 55% | +15pt | 0 € | 1,8 mil € | há 25 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets88% de correspondência · verificado | — | 47% | +7pt | — | — | há 15 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · verificado | — | 62% | +22pt | — | — | há 16 horas | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
1m
53.4%
46.6%
Previsão da comunidade18 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
5m
62%
38%
Previsão da comunidade45 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Futuur
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election?
1m
55%
45%
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total36,2 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.7k38.5%POLYMARKETYessdiff123há 25 dias
POLYMARKETYessdiff123há 25 diasTendência de volume
$5832 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.