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  3. Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoEurope2m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 45%
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

20,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

44.0% / 45.0%

Spread

2.3%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

+1.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 minutos

12/05/26, 23:536/09/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes45%

Regras

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regras

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.