PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 99%-0.2ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
20,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
-0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
29/01/26, 0:343/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 96% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 1 pt
- Também disponível em Limitless — WI-04 House Election Winner · Democratic Party 99%
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 160,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 845,4 mil
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,5 mi
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 50,3 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de WI-04 House Election Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Democratic Party em 99% em 22 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando WI-04 House Election Winner é resolvido?
- WI-04 House Election Winner deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como WI-04 House Election Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Onde mais WI-04 House Election Winner está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless.