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  3. Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

5.5% (24h)One-OffCiência1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman 81%+14.5%
Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado

60 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

146,8 €

Liquidez

5,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

75.0% / 81.0%

Spread

8.0%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

-5.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 minutos

6/01/26, 19:0630/07/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Jacob Tsimerman81%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

11.1%6m
Yu Deng
Yu Deng
+11.1%55%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman
+6.2%76%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang
-8.7%83%

+7 mais resultados

28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total564,3 €
Volume 24h8,9 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.

Polymarket
  • It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
  • The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
  • If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.

Polymarket
  • It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
  • The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
  • If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.