Probabilidade implícita atual
SPD 89%+9.5ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
48,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.1 pt
Spread amploComments
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
20/08/26, 17:4331/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
- The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor.
- A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor.
